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Monday September 15
Gold Key Pick, Chargers -3.5 over LAS VEGAS (NFL Football, 10 et) (Roof) (WINNER)
The Chargers of the AFC West Division under their second-year Head Coach Jim Harbaugh won nicely in Game One versus the Super Bowl Champs. They got some extra time off and figure to be well prepared for this event. Positive trends for the Chargers include 6-0 Against The Spread in Division Play, 6-1 ATS away from Home, and 7-1 ATS off a Straight Up win versus opponents off a SU Dog win at this point of the season.
The Raiders enter this Division match up for their first-year Head Coach Pete Carroll off a SU win as Dogs at New England. They hope to make the Playoffs for the second time in nine seasons. Negative trends for the Raiders this evening include 0-8 ATS at this point of the season with Revenge versus rivals off a Road game, 6-20 ATS at Home at this point of the season off Dog role, and 8-15 ATS at Home versus this opponent.
The line stands at Chargers -3.5. We’ll go with the Road Chargers to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
Sunday September 14
Gold Key Pick, INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 over Denver (NFL Football, 4:05 et) (Ret. Roof) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
The Colts of the AFC South Division under their third-year Head Coach Shane Steichen won easily in Game One. They catch another Home event here before starting Division Play on the Road next week. Positive trends for the Colts include 11-3 ATS off a Double Digit ATS win at this point of the season, 11-2 ATS when both teams are off non-Division Play, and 6-0 ATS after allowing 10 or less points.
The Broncos of the AFC West won Game One for their third-year Head Coach Sean Payton. They look to take their Division for the first time in 10 years. Negative trends for the Broncos this afternoon include 0-5 ATS on the Road versus non-Division rivals with Revenge, 1-7 SU at this foe, and 1-4 ATS lately.
The line stands at Broncos -2.5. We’ll take those points and the Home Colts to cover for us here today in a Gold Key Pick.
Gold Key Pick, DALLAS -4.5 over Giants (NFL Football, 1 et) (Ret. Roof) (Loser)
The Cowboys of the NFC East under their first-year Head Coach Brian Schottenheimer played the second half close in Game One. They figure to fare better here in front of the Home Faithful. Positive trends for the Cowboys this afternoon include 12-1 Against The Spread at Home in Division Play versus opponents off Dog role, 12-2 ATS in Division Play as Favorites off Road event versus rivals off a Straight Up loss, and 14-0 ATS as Favorites in this point range off Division Play versus below average foes.
The Giants enter this Division contest for their fourth-year Head Coach Brian Daboll after showing little in Game One. They look to improve off two pitiful seasons in a row. Negative trends for the Giants include 0-6 ATS on the Road, 0-6 ATS in Division Play, and 2-11 ATS lately.
The line stands at Cowboys -4.5. We’ll go with the Home Cowboys to cover for us here today in a Gold Key Pick.
Saturday September 13
Gold Key Pick, Over 60 Total Points, Arkansas at MISSISSIPPI (College Football, 7 et) (Weather) (WINNER)
The Razorbacks of the Southeastern Conference are 2-0 Straight Up, and 1-1 Against The Spread for their sixth-year Head Coach Sam Pittman. They have been putting points on the board and will need to do so again this evening to give themselves a chance. Hogs games are 6-2 Over in September, and 4-2 Over at this opponent.
The Top Twenty Rebels enter this SEC match up for their sixth-year Head Coach Lance Kiffin and are also 2-0 SU, and 1-1 ATS on the season. They get their Conference Home opener here, and figure to score some points. The Rebels have scored at least 40 points in Game Three over the past six seasons.
The Totals line stands at 60. We’ll go with the Over here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
Gold Key Pick, CALIFORNIA +2.5 over Minnesota (College Football, 10:30 et) (Weather) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
The Golden Bears of the Atlantic Coast Conference are 2-0 SU, and 1-1 ATS for their long-tenured Head Coach Justin Wilcox. While playing lesser to start the new season, they look dangerous here at Home getting points. Positive trends for the Bears include 11-0 ATS as non-Conference Dogs, 8-1 SU in Week Three, and 6-3 SU at Home.
The Golden Gophers of the Big Ten Conference are also 2-0 SU, and 1-1 ATS for their long-tenured Head Coach PJ Fleck. They won as Bowlers the past four seasons and must be respected. Negative trends for the Gophers tonight include 1-9 ATS after allowing less than a Touchdown, and 0-6 ATS as Favorites off non-Conference Play versus foes coming off a Double Digit SU win.
The line stands at Golden Gophers -3. We’ll take those points and the Home Golden Bears to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
Friday September 12
Gold Key Pick, ARIZONA +1.5 over Kansas State (College Football, 9 et) (Weather) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
The Wildcats of the Big Twelve Conference under their second-year Head Coach Brent Brennan are 2-0 Straight Up and Against The Spread on the season. Having done no wrong they get their third straight Home event in a row, versus a Conference rival that whooped them last year. Positive trends for the Wildcats include 6-0 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 10-2 SU in Week Three, and 11-5 SU at Home.
The Wildcats enter this Big Twelve contest for their long-tenured Head Coach Chris Klieman at 1-2 SU, and 0-3 ATS. They were much ballyhooed with returning starters and transfers, and have already played three games — struggling in each as Favorites. Negative trends for the Wildcats this evening include 1-7 ATS on the Road versus winning Conference foes, 1-8 ATS lately, and 1-6 ATS on the Road.
The line opened at Kansas State -2.5 and moved down. We’ll take those points and Arizona at Home here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
Check back at Noon et and click ‘Refresh’.
3*** Under 42.5 Total Points, Tampa Bay at HOUSTON (NFL Football, 7 et) (Ret. Roof) (WINNER)
Sunday September 14
3*** DETROIT -6.5 over Chicago (NFL Football, 1 et) (Roof) (WINNER)
Here is the key for the selections above:
Home team in CAPS
Selection in Blue
(Gold Key Picks are always 5***** and above)
5***** = Bet out baby
4**** = Strong play
3*** = Good Play
2** = Don’t go crazy
1* = Bet a beer
Afternoon game picks will generally be posted by Noon et,
and evening game picks by 3 PM ET in Football.
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