2023 NFL and NCAA Football Stats Against The Spread
Here is a look before the 2023 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic Against The Spread trends:
Air Force –6-1 Against The Spread in first of back to back Road games, 2-7 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron — 5-0 ATS at Mia-Oh, 0-8 ATS as Favorites >11 pts
Alabama — 5-0 ATS vs Mississippi State, 2-9 ATS after playing Texas A&M
Appalachian State — 9-1 ATS as Dogs, 1-5 ATS with Revenge
Arizona — 4-1 ATS at Colorado, 1-5 ATS vs Utah
Arizona State — New Head Coach,9-1 ATS after allowing 35 or more points, 1-6 ATS as Road Favs <TD
Arkansas — 9-1 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-7 ATS after allowing<= 10 points
Arkansas State — 13-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-6 ATS with Rest
Army — 8-0 ATS vs above average opponents off a loss, 1-11 ATS on the Road with Rest off a SU loss
Auburn –New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Lsu, 0-6 ATS vs Georgia
Ball State — 4-1 ATS at Eastern Michigan, 1-5 ATS as Home Favs
Baylor — 5-0 ATS versus Iowa State, 3-12 ATS after playing Texas
Boise State — 6-0 ATS as Dogs >=4 points, 0-4 ATS versus Wyoming
Boston College — 5-1 ATS vs Louisville, 0-4 ATS vs Florida State
Bowling Green — 5-1 ATS as Road Favorites less than 7.5 points, 0-6 ATS after allowing single digits
Buffalo — 12-1 ATS second of back to back Home events, 0-6 ATS on Weekdays
BYU — 8-0 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 1-9 ATS after allowing at least 35 points
California — 4-0 ATS vs Washington, 0-3 ATS vs ArizonaState
Central Michigan — 8-1 ATS vs Northern Illinois, 1-7 ATS vs below average rivals
Charlotte — New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS as Favs <11 points, 0-6 ATS Home off a Double Digit win
Cincinnati — New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS at Home vs non-Conference foes, 2-8 ATS after playing Houston
Clemson — 5-0 ATS versus Florida State, 0-5 ATS after playing Georgia Tech
New Head Coach, Coastal Carolina — 10-1 ATS as Dogs <12 points, 0-6 ATS as Favs after allowing at least 35 points.
Colorado — New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Colorado State,1-6 ATS vs Utah
Colorado State — 10-1 ATS on the Road vs very good rivals, 1-5 ATS vs Boise State
Connecticut — 5-1 ATS vs Conference USA, 0-7 ATS as beaten Favorites
Duke — 4-0 ATS vs Northwestern, 1-7 ATS vs Virginia
Be wary of Sandwich Games in between NCAA Conference Games and in between NFL Division Games. Teams will focus on the more important Games and may not be at full strength for the out of Conference or non-Division event. Read more on this in an upcoming Blog Post.
East Carolina — 7-0 ATS off a Double Digit win versus non-Conference teams, 0-6 ATS vs Navy
Eastern Michigan — 7-0 ATS before playing Toledo, 0-4 ATS versus UMass
Florida — 5-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-6 ATS versus Kentucky
Florida Atlantic — New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS in first of back to back Home games, 1-13 ATS in second of back to back Home events
Florida International — 8-2 ATS as Home Dogs with Revenge, 0-5 ATS as Dogs when beaten Favs
Florida State — 13-0 ATS as non-Conference Favs <=6 points, 0-5 ATS vs Clemson
Fresno State — 6-1 ATS vs New Mexico, 1-4 ATS at Home vs Nevada
Georgia — 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-4 ATS vs Kentucky
Georgia Southern — 6-0 ATS as non-Conference Favorites, 0-7 ATS in second of back to back Road events
Georgia State — 8-0 ATS as Conference Favs <13.5 points, 1-9 ATS as Home Dogs of at least a TD
Georgia Tech — New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS in second of back to back Road Games, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Georgia
Hawaii –5-1 ATS vs Wyoming, 1-15 ATS as Home Favs
Houston — 10-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-5 ATS Home with Rest
Illinois — 6-0 ATS Home vs very good rivals, 2-14 ATS after scoring >= 35 points
One of the keys to winning on Football bets is to learn to take the points and go with the Under when applicable. Especially on days where there is only one football wagering event and everyone and his brother and sister are betting on the Favorite and the Over.
Indiana — 4-0 ATS after playing Ohio State, 0-6 ATS vs Purdue
Iowa — 6-0 ATS vs Minnesota, 0-9 ATS Home off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State — 11-2 ATS as Conference Home Favs <TD, 1-10 ATS before playing Tcu
Jacksonville State — First lined year
James Madison — Second lined year, 3-1 as Road Favs
Kansas — 6-1 ATS in first of back to back Home games, 0-4 ATS vs Kansas State
Kansas State — 8-0 ATS before playing Kansas, 0-3 ATS vs Iowa State
Kent State — New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Akron, 1-11 ATS as Home Favs after allowing at least 35 points
Kentucky — 4-0 ATS vs Louisville, 0-5 at Home vs Tennessee
UL-Lafayette — 9-1 ATS vs Texas State, 1-6 ATS at Home with Rest
UL-Monroe —5-0 ATS as Road Favs >5 points, 0-13 ATS vs Arkansas State
Liberty — New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS as Double Digit Home Favs off a SU win, 1-6 ATS off a SU loss
Louisiana Tech — 10-0 ATS before playing North Texas, 0-7 ATS as Single Digit Road Favs
Louisville — New Head Coach, 10-0 ATS as Double Digit Road Dogs off a SU win, 1-9 ATS after playing NC State
LSU — 6-0 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS vs Auburn
Consistent line movement (wagering action) towards or against one team for several days should be respected. This is especially true in the Colleges where there are dozens of games played on Saturday and one team is getting mucho action.
Marshall — 8-1 ATS in first of back to back Road games, 1-8 ATS in second of back to back road games
Maryland — 12-1 off a SU Dog non-Conference win, 1-6 ATS vs Penn State
Memphis — 8-1 ATS vs Smu, 1-6 ATS in non-Conference Play
Miami — 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Home Favs <TD, 1-7 ATS in second of back to back Home events
Miami OH — 4-0 ATS at Home vs Buffalo, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Akron
Michigan — 11-1 ATS before playing Michigan State, 0-7 ATS in their final event
Michigan State — 7-1 ATS before playing Nebraska, 1-8 ATS vs Minnesota
MTSU — 6-0 ATS after playing Western Kentucky, 0-9 ATS off a SU Dog win
Minnesota — 8-1 ATS vs Michigan State, 0-6 ATS vs Iowa
Mississippi — 9-2 ATS before playing Alabama, 1-9 ATS vs Arkansas
Mississippi State — New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 0-8 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win
Missouri — 62-8 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 0-10 ATS as Favorites off a SU Dog win
Navy — New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs East Carolina, 2-12 ATS as Favs in first of back to back Home games
Nebraska — New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Michigan State, 0-4 ATS vs Illinois
Football is played by humans who are motivated by emotion. Revenge Games in both College and Pro Football follow trends that can help win us $.
Nevada — 3-0 ATS vs Unlv, 1-7 ATS in first of back to back Road games
New Mexico — 9-1 ATS at Home as beaten Conference Favs, 3-20 versus very good opponents
New Mexico State — 7-1 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-6 ATS at Home vs beaten Favs
North Carolina — 7-0 ATS off a Double Digit ATS Road loss, 1-6 ATS with Rest
North Carolina State — 5-0 ATS after playing Virginia Tech, 0-5 ATS at Home vs North Carolina
North Texas — New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Home vs Utsa, 1-7 ATS vs SMU
Northern Illinois — 15-1 ATS as Dogs <6,5 points, 1-9 ATS off a Double Digit ATS win
Northwestern — New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs Maryland, 0-4 ATS vs Duke
Notre Dame — 11-0 ATS with Revenge off a SU and ATS win, 0-5 ATS as Favs >2 TDs off a SU loss
Ohio State — 9-0 as Dogs >=3 points, 1-8 ATS before playing Michigan
Ohio U — 7-0 ATS after playing State, 1-9 ATS after playing Buffalo
Oklahoma — 4-0 ATS vs Oklahoma State, 1-6 ATS before playing West Virgiia
Oklahoma State — 6-0 ATS off back to back SU losses, 1-9 ATS after playing Oklahoma
Old Dominion — 5-1 ATS as Favs >8 points, 0-5 ATS before playing Marshall
NFL and NCAA Football lines/odds are designed to split the wagers and give the book the vigorish. The betting public does not properly take into consideration a team’s ability to win at Home and on the Road. Thus a ranked team or Division leader may be favored even when they are less competitive on the Road than at Home.
Oregon State — 11-0 ATS at Home, 1-6 ATS vs below average non-Conf rivals
Penn State — 13-0 ATS off back to back SU and ATS wins vs Conf foes, 1-4 ATS vs Michigan
Pittsburgh — 8-1 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 0-6 ATS as Road Dogs
Purdue — New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs Indiana, 0-7 ATS before playing Minnesota
Rice — 6-1 ATS as Home Favs >TD vs below good rivals, 1-8 ATS Home after scoring <=10 points
Rutgers — 8-1 ATS with Rest, 1-8 ATS after playing Indiana
San Diego State –3-0 ATS at Air Force, 1-4 ATS vs Hawaii
San Jose State — 6-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-7 ATS vs Utah State
SMU — 9-1 ATS off a SU and ATS non-Conference win, 1-8 ATS vs Memphis
South Alabama — 4-0 ATS vs Arkansas State, 0-5 ATS vs Troy
South Carolina — 7-0 ATS in first of back to back Road games, 0-4 ATS vs Missouri
South Florida — New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS at Memphis, 0-5 ATS as Home Favs of >6.5 pts
Southern Mississippi — 9-1 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 2-10 ATS Weekday Road games
Stanford — New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS as Weekday Dogs <10.5 points, 0-7 ATS vs Washington State
With so many legal Sportsbooks available online and in person it’s a good idea to open accounts with different ones to take advantage of the best lines and odds on Football. The variation can sometimes be as much as a few points especially close to game time.
Syracuse — 7-0 ATS as Road Favs <=12 pts with Revenge,1-5 ATS vs below average non-Conf foes
TCU — 3-0 ATS vs Texas Tech, 2-13 ATS after playing Texas
Temple — 7-1 ATS vs Memphis, 0-9 ATS as Favs <=14 pts with Rest
Tennessee — 9-1 ATS in second of back to back Road events, 0-5 ATS at Florida
Texas — 6-0 ATS as Dogs >=10 pts, 1-6 ATS at very good rivals
Texas A&M — 6-1 ATS before playing Arkansas, 0-10 ATS with Rest and Revenge
Texas State — New Head Coach, 4-1 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 1-9 ATS vs UL-Lafayette
Texas Tech — 12-1 ATS with Rest, 0-5 ATS vs Kansas St
Toledo — 3-0 ATS vs UMass, 1-9 ATS Tuesday Home games
Troy — 6-0 ATS vs South Alabama, 1-8 ATS in non-Conf Home games
Tulane — 8-0 ATS as Favs with Revenge, 0-7 ATS vs opponents off a SU Dog win
Tulsa — New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS with Revenge, 1-11 ATS after scoring at least 35 points
UAB — New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs NorthTexas, 1-6 ATS as Favs vs less than avg rivals off a SU and ATS win
UCF — 9-0 ATS as Road Dogs >4 points off a SU and ATS win, 0-5 ATS as Dogs >10.5 points
UCLA — 5-1 ATS vs Arizona State, 1-7 ATS after playing Usc
UMASS — 4-0 ATS vs Eastern Michigan, 2-33 SU lately
Some Sportsbooks take a shot on Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football by setting lines different from other books. Many times with only a single Football Game they will add 1/2 point to the Favorite and the Total knowing that the average bettor will go that way.
UNLV — New Head Coach, 10-0 ATS on the Road vs non-Conference foes, 0-8 ATS as Road Favs >FG
USC — 4-1 ATS vs Colorado, 1-8 ATS in final game
Utah — 6-1 ATS vs Colorado, 1-7 ATS with Revenge off a SU Dog win
Utah State — 17-1 off a non-Conference Road event, 0-6 ATS vs Boise St
UTEP — 6-0 ATS with Rest off a Double Digit ATS win, 1-9 ATS Weekday Road games
UTSA — 11-1 ATS as Dogs <= 9 pts, 0-4 ATS at North Texas
Vanderbilt — 4-0 ATS after playing Kentucky, 2-14 ATS before playing Georgia
Virginia — 5-0 ATS at Home vs Duke, 1-5 ATS vs Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech — 6-0 ATS vs NC State, 1-8 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Wake Forest — 12-0 ATS versus opponents off back to back losses, 1-6 ATS as non-Conf Favs >16 pts
Washington — 7-1 ATS vs Washington State, 1-6 ATS with Rest
Washington State — 7-0 ATS vs Stanford, 0-7 ATS in last game
West Virginia — 5-0 ATS on Weekdays, 1-6 ATS off back to back SU and ATS wins
Western Kentucky — 6-0 ATS Weekday Home Games, 1-6 ATS as Dogs >9 points
Western Michigan — New Head Coach, 11-1 ATS as Conf Dogs >3 pts, 0-5ATS versus Eastern Michigan
Wisconsin — New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS at Purdue, 0-6 ATS after allowing two TDs or less
Wyoming — 7-0 ATS last game, 1-6 ATS after playing Hawaii
College and Pro Football teams show definite trends when coming off a Bye Week. Many teams benefit from Rest during a grueling schedule, and the line will generally reflect that.
Here is a look before the 2023 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:
Arizona — New Head Coach, 8-1 vs the NFC East, 8-1 ATS as Dogs vs below .333 rivals, 1-10 ATS as Home Favs <6 points, 1-8 ATS on Thursday vs better than average foes
Atlanta — 8-1 ATS as Dogs in Division Play versus rivals off a SU loss, 5-1 ATS as non-Conference Favs, 1-7 ATS in Division Play off a Road game, 1-4 ATS vs Washington
Baltimore — 7-0 ATS before Monday game, 10-1 ATS as non-Division Dogs, 2-10 ATS as Division Home Favs <7.5 points, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Cincinnati
Buffalo — 4-0 ATS vs Denver, 10-2 ATS with Rest off a loss, 0-3 ATS vs Miami, 2-8 ATS before playing the Jets.
Carolina — New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs foes with Rest, 3-0 ATS vs Houston, 1-8 ATS as Division Home Favs, 1-5 ATS vs Tampa Bay
Chargers — 6-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 4-0 ATS as Dogs off a SU loss, 0-9 ATS at Home vs rivals with Rest, 1-9 ATS before Bye Week
Chicago — 6-1 ATS on the Road on Mondays, 8-1 ATS as Home Favs of at least a TD vs above average foes,, 0-8 ATS vs Green Bay, 1-6 ATS before playing Detroit
Cincinnati — 12-1 ATS at AFC West, 6-0 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-6 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 1-8 ATS on the Road on Mondays
Cleveland — 6-0 ATS Home on Thursdays,6-1 ATS as Home Dogs off a SU Division win, 0-6 ATS off a Double Digit SU win, 0-4 ATS vs Jacksonville
Dallas — 5-0 ATS before playing Giants, 20-3 ATS as Div Favs >2 points, 1-9 ATS as Home Favs on Thursdays, 0-4 ATS vs Seattle
Denver — New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after Thursday Play, 8-0 ATS as Division Road Favorites >3 pts, 0-4 vs Las Vegas,1-10 ATS before playing Chargers
Detroit — 6-0 ATS at Home vs Green Bay, 5-0 ATS vs Minnesota, 0-4 ATS vs Seattle, 2-9 ATS after scoring at least 40 points.
Green Bay — 9-0 ATS vs Rams, 8-0 vs Chicago, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 0-6 ATS at Detroit
Houston — New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 12-2 ATS off a double digit ATS loss, 0-8 ATS off back to back SU wins, 2-8 ATS after playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis — New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS before playing Tennessee, 9-0 ATS as beaten Div Favs, 0-8 ATS at Jacksonville, 2-13 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
Jacksonville — 8-0 ATS at Home vs Indianapolis, 4-0 ATS vs Cleveland, 0-10 ATS vs NFC South, 1-10 ATS before playing Indianapolis
Kansas City — 4-0 ATS vs Philadelphia, 6-1 ATS on the Road vs the NFC, 0-5 ATS after Thursday Home game, 1-5 ATS vs Chargers
Live Sportsbook Betting now gives us much more chances to crush in Football wagering. This allows greater opportunities for “middling” or winning on both sides. More to come in a future blog . . .
Las Vegas — 5-0 ATS after playing Denver, 4-0 ATS before Bye Week, 0-5 ATS at the AFC East, 1-6 ATS after playing Kansas City.
Miami — 5-0 ATS vs New England, 7-0 ATS after scoring 35+ Points, 2-12 ATS after playing New England, 1-6 ATS before Division Road game
Minnesota — 7-1 ATS off Thursday Play, 5-1 ATS after playing Green Bay, 0-5 ATS vs Detroit, 0-8 ATS as Dogs on Mondays
New England — 9-0 ATS after >=35 points, 5-0 ATS vs Chargers, 0-5 ATS vs Miami, 1-5 ATS before playing Buffalo
New Orleans — 13-0 ATS as Division Dogs >= 3 pts, 5-0 ATS before playing Atlanta, 0-4 ATS with Rest, 1-10 ATS as non-Conference Home Favs >=3 points
NY Giants — 12-2 ATS off Thursday games, 5-0 vs the AFC, 1-11 ATS Home vs NFC West, 0-4 ATS vs Arizona
NY Jets — 7-2 ATS vs Cleveland, 5-0 ATS after playing Miami, 0-5 ATS on Thursday, 0-8 ATS after playing Buffalo
Philadelphia — 3-0 ATS vs Jets, 8-1 ATS Home off a SU Dog win, 0-7 ATS before MNF, 1-8 ATS vs Arizona
Pittsburgh — 9-0 ATS vs AFC South, 10-2 ATS as Dog off double digit ATS win, 1-8 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 1-4 ATS vs Las Vegas
Rams– 5-0 ATS vs Seattle, 5-0 ATS after playing Seattle, 0-9 ATS vs Green Bay, 1-9 ATS at the AFC
San Francisco — 6-0 ATS Monday Road games, 7-0 ATS vs Rams, 1-7 ATS as Favs off Double Digit SU loss, 0-7 ATS with Rest vs below average rivals
Seattle — 11-2 ATS before Monday game, 7-1 ATS at Arizona, 0-6 ATS off Division Road event, 0-7 ATS as Road Favs with Revenge
Tampa Bay — 5-1 ATS vs Carolina, 6-1 ATS as beaten NFC Home Favs, 0-8 ATS before playing Carolina, 0-6 ATS as Home Favs <3.5 points
Tennessee — 5-0 ATS vs Indianapolis, 6-0 ATS with Rest, 2-13 ATS before Thursday Play, 1-6 ATS after playing Houston
Washington — 6-0 ATS off a Double Digit ATS win, 5-1 ATS after allowing <=10 points, 1-6 ATS after playing Giants, 0-4 ATS before playing Philadelphia
Here’s wishing all Football bettors a great 2023 Football Wagering Season!
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