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2024-5 NBA Basketball Stats

Current 2024-25 NBA Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Through 03/29/25

— all stats below use final closing lines ATS

Some stats go back through more than one season and do not include the Playoffs

Bold indicates hot teams ATS

SU= Straight Up


Atlanta — 264-43 when they win SU, 12-150 when they lose SU, 16-11 as Road Dogs, 11-16 vs the West, 10-17 as Favs, 19-8 Over as Favs, 23-13 Over at Home

Boston — 216-77 when they win SU, 10-83 when they lose SU, 18-35 off a SU win, 15-4 off a SU loss, 3-10 with 2-3 days off, 23-15 Under on the Road, 9-6 Over in Division Play

Brooklyn– 24-14 on the Road, 13-7 with Rest advantage, 10-4 Under with no Rest, 31-17 Under vs the East

Charlotte — 1-6 lately, 151-8 when they win SU, 61-213 when they lose SU, 19-13 as Home Dogs, 3-8 with 2-3 days of Rest, 0-7 as Favs, 23-10 Under as Home Dogs, 9-4 Under with no Rest

Chicago — 10-1 lately, 188-16 when they win SU, 20-137 when they lose SU, 3-8 with no Rest, 24-16 off a SU loss, 18-9 Over vs the West, 13-4 Under as Favs

Cleveland — 44-29 Overall, 154-42 when they win SU, 17-9 vs the West, 37-21 off a SU win, 11-2 with 2-3 days off, 23-4 Over vs the West, 23-10 Over as Road Favs

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Some NBA teams go on consecutive winning and losing streaks ATS. These streaks can go on for a while until the line properly adjusts.

Dallas — 5-1 lately, 20-176 when they lose SU, 8-4 with no Rest, 11-1 Over with no Rest, 13-7 Under as Home Favs

Denver — 3-7 lately, 5-153 when they lose SU, 10-5 with no Rest, 3-10 with 2+ days of Rest, 21-8 Over vs the East, 10-5 Over in Division Play

Detroit — 128-7 when they win SU, 20-11 off a SU loss, 22-13 on the Road, 7-11 as Home Favs, 10-5 as Road Favs, 7-3 Over with 2-3 days off

Golden State — 2-8 lately, 19-147 when they lose SU, 21-13 with equal Rest, 18-11 off a SU loss, 3-10 in Division Play, 6-12 with Rest Disadvantage, 8-4 Under with no Rest

Houston — 1-6 lately, 155-28 when they win SU, 13-3 in Division Play, 20-14 on the Road, 27-16 Over vs the West, 18-11 Under vs the East

Indiana — 37-195 when they lose SU, 130-17 when they win SU, 3-9 with no Rest, 6-13 as Road Favs, 19-9 Over off a SU loss, 7-3 Over as Home Dogs

 

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The NBA shows ATS trends more than any other sport regarding when teams win Straight Up and lose SU. Teams like Denver and Atlanta virtually never cover ATS when they lose SU. Conversely Charlotte, New York and Detroit almost always cover ATS when they win SU.

 

L.A. Clippers — 8-0 lately, 205-50 when they win SU, 19-165 when they lose SU, 17-6 as Home Favs, 25-18 with one day of Rest, 7-11 as Road Favs, 12-6 Over as Road Favs, 25-16 Under off a SU win, 13-5 Under as Road Dogs

L.A. Lakers — 1-5 lately, 9-92 when they lose SU, 106-21 when they win SU, 13-2 in Division Play, 6-3 as Home Dogs, 17-13 Over vs the East, 8-4 Under with no Rest

Memphis — 3-17 lately, 18-120 when they lose SU, 206-33 when they win SU, 17-12 off a SU loss, 8-5 with no Rest, 11-7 with Rest disadvantage, 43-31 Over

Miami — 6-0 lately, 19-176 when they lose SU, 26-33 vs non-Division, 5-10 as Road Favs, 22-15 Over at Home, 20-12 Over off a SU win, 10-4 Under with no Rest

Milwaukee — 8-170 when they lose SU, 7-14 with Rest disadvantage, 20-13 with equal Rest, 21-11 Under off a SU loss, 24-17 Over off a SU win, 17-7 Under as Dogs

Minnesota — 15-119 when they lose SU, 184-37 when they win SU, 11-6 as Dogs, 15-22 at Home, 16-24 with equal Rest, 9-5 Over in Division Play, 9-4 Over with no Rest

 

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In a sport with 82 regular season games and a second season in the Playoffs, days of Rest come in to play in Basketball wagering. For example, last season the Clippers were 4-1 ATS with at least three days of Rest, but only 1-10 ATS with exactly two days of Rest.

 

New Orleans — 20-142 when they lose SU, 182-21 when they win SU, 11-26 on the Road, 28-19 Over vs the West, 19-10 Over as Road Dogs

New York — 11-125 when they lose SU, 226-30 when they win SU, 5-9 as Dogs, 2-10 with no Rest, 9-3 Over with no Rest, 24-14 Over with equal Rest

Oklahoma City — 11-2 lately, 196-33 when they win SU, 44-29 as Dogs, 189-127 overall, 31-13 with equal Rest, 20-5 vs the East, 23-12 Over at Home, 9-3 Over off a SU loss

Orlando— 7-2 lately, 149-10 when they win SU, 10-17 vs the West, 10-3 vs Division, 12-19 as Dogs, 13-4 Under as Road Favs, 8-4 Under as Home Dogs, 12-8 Over as Road Dogs

Philadelphia — 0-6 lately, 25-47 overall, 18-124 when they lose SU, 139-32 when they win SU, 8-19 vs the West, 1-15 as Home Favs, 8-18 as Road Dogs, 9-6 Under as Home Favs, 8-2 Over as Road Favs, 20-7 Over vs the West

Phoenix — 13-167 when they lose SU, 29-44 Overall, 14-22 at Home, 9-25 off a SU win, 7-19 vs the East, 13-5 Over as Road Favs, 22-15 Under at Home

 

NBA teams can be specialists when playing within or out of their Conference. For example Detroit was 12-18 ATS vs the West last season, but relished playing their own Eastern Conference to a 33-19 ATS record.

 

Portland– 43-157 when they lose SU, 108-4 when they win SU, 10-1 with Rest disadvantage, 10-1 with no Rest, 22-16 at Home, 9-5 Over in Division Play, 9-3 Under with no Rest

Sacramento — 190-25 when they win SU, 6-68 when they lose SU, 4-14 with Rest disadvantage, 4-10 in Division Play, 6-2 Over as Home Dogs, 11-7 Under as Road Favs

San Antonio — 5-1 lately, 100-8 when they win SU, 50-154 when they lose SU, 13-5 with Rest advantage, 4-12 in Division Play, 11-29 with equal Rest, 12-3 Over as Home Favs, 17-10 Over vs the East

Toronto — 11-3 lately, 45-28 overall, 126-15 when they win SU, 20-7 vs the West, 23-14 at Home, 39-24 as Dogs, 16-10 Under off a SU win

Utah — 2-7 lately, 52-175 when they lose SU, 77-4 when they win SU, 17-10 vs the East, 10-6 off a SU win, 12-4 Over with 2+ days of Rest, 9-4 Over in Division Play

Washington — 1-7 lately, 141-14 when they win SU, 51-159 when they lose SU, 9-19 vs the West, 3-10 with no Rest, 20-9 Over vs the West, 11-5 Over off a SU win

 

I review these stats every day when figuring my Plays

–Rich Green